SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Salernitana |
50.95% ( 0.82) | 23.23% ( -0.2) | 25.82% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.64% ( 0.37) | 42.37% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.23% ( 0.37) | 64.77% ( -0.37) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( 0.44) | 16.73% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.37% ( 0.78) | 46.64% ( -0.78) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( -0.28) | 29.83% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( -0.34) | 65.92% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.16% Total : 25.83% |
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