SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Algeria |
19.01% ( -0.49) | 24.52% ( -0.11) | 56.47% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% ( -0.19) | 54.93% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% ( -0.16) | 76.21% ( 0.16) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.69% ( -0.68) | 43.31% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.45% ( -0.57) | 79.55% ( 0.57) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( 0.16) | 19.36% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( 0.26) | 51.15% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uganda | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.01% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 13.76% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 11.3% ( 0.2)1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 56.45% |
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