SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uganda.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Botswana |
37.38% ( -0.12) | 29.6% ( 0.02) | 33.02% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0.04) | 63.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.86% ( -0.02) | 83.14% ( 0.02) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( -0.09) | 32.89% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( -0.1) | 69.47% ( 0.1) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( 0.05) | 35.83% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% ( 0.05) | 72.61% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uganda | Draw | Botswana |
| 1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.59% | 0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 33.01% |
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