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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.41%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Universitario | Draw | Atletico Junior |
69.05% ( 0.45) | 19.99% ( -0.26) | 10.96% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 40.18% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% ( 0.51) | 51.96% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( 0.44) | 73.7% ( -0.45) |
| Universitario Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( 0.3) | 14.01% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.45% ( 0.59) | 41.55% ( -0.59) |
| Atletico Junior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.73% ( -0.05) | 53.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.18% ( -0.03) | 86.82% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Universitario | Draw | Atletico Junior |
| 1-0 @ 14.66% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 14.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 69.04% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.99% | 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.96% |
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