SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Elfsborg |
31.76% ( 0.23) | 23.98% ( 0.07) | 44.25% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 60.1% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( -0.22) | 42.05% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.54% ( -0.22) | 64.45% ( 0.21) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% ( 0.04) | 25.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% ( 0.05) | 60.46% ( -0.05) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.22) | 19.23% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% ( -0.35) | 50.93% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.76% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 44.26% |
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