Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Varnamo | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
49.42% ( 0.07) | 25.72% ( 0.02) | 24.85% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.34% ( -0.12) | 53.66% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.85% ( -0.1) | 75.15% ( 0.11) |
Varnamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% ( -0.02) | 21.73% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.09% ( -0.03) | 54.91% ( 0.03) |
Varbergs BoIS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.29% ( -0.14) | 36.71% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.5% ( -0.14) | 73.5% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Varnamo | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 49.41% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 24.85% |
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