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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
48.99% ( -0.1) | 28.18% ( 0.04) | 22.84% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 41.16% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.5% ( -0.09) | 63.5% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.17% ( -0.07) | 82.82% ( 0.06) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0.09) | 26.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( -0.12) | 61.34% ( 0.12) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.8% ( 0) | 44.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.71% ( 0) | 80.29% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 15.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 48.98% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.84% |
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