Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Modena had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Modena win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
2.17) 
-1.04) 
