Verona have conceded an average of two goals per game on home turf, and their confidence must be low after losing to Lecce in such dismal fashion.
As a result, Roma can record their first win on the road, easing the pressure on Ivan Juric, who could beat two former clubs back-to-back.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.