Roma do not tend to win that often on the road, but welcoming back key men and visiting a Verona side that may struggle for survival should certainly help their cause. They can scrap out a one-goal victory over the Scaligeri, who may find their forwards cancelled out.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
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