SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
19.37% ( 0.42) | 22.23% ( 0.18) | 58.4% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% ( -0.19) | 45.32% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% ( -0.18) | 67.66% ( 0.17) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( 0.35) | 37.33% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.88% ( 0.34) | 74.12% ( -0.35) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( -0.27) | 15.2% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.16% ( -0.5) | 43.84% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.37% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.06% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.39% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
