SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vietnam | Draw | Indonesia |
50.28% ( 0.17) | 24.94% ( -0.05) | 24.78% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.38% ( 0.13) | 50.61% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% ( 0.11) | 72.52% ( -0.11) |
| Vietnam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( 0.12) | 20.14% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( 0.19) | 52.41% ( -0.19) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.89% ( -0.03) | 35.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.14% ( -0.04) | 71.86% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vietnam | Draw | Indonesia |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.28% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 24.78% |
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