Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.07) 
