Rotherham may benefit from Watford pushing for maximum points in this fixture, freeing up space at the back. However, the Hornets' superior quality should shine through, particularly at Vicarage Road when they are aware that draws are becoming less valuable.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
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