SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Rotherham United |
66.8% ( -0.32) | 20.08% ( 0.1) | 13.12% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.26% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( 0.05) | 47.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% ( 0.04) | 69.58% ( -0.04) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.74% ( -0.08) | 13.26% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.95% ( -0.16) | 40.05% ( 0.16) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.33% ( 0.37) | 46.67% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.76% ( 0.28) | 82.23% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 2-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 66.8% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.08% | 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.12% Total : 13.12% |
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