SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
50.42% ( 0.11) | 23.82% ( -0.02) | 25.76% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( 0.04) | 45.07% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( 0.04) | 67.42% ( -0.04) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( 0.06) | 17.93% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.24% ( 0.1) | 48.75% ( -0.09) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( -0.04) | 31.32% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% ( -0.05) | 67.67% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.76% |
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