SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Rochdale |
29.64% ( 1.54) | 24.16% ( 0.13) | 46.2% ( -1.67) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( 0.37) | 43.93% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( 0.36) | 66.31% ( -0.36) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( 1.26) | 27.88% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( 1.59) | 63.49% ( -1.59) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( -0.54) | 19.17% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% ( -0.9) | 50.84% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 46.2% |
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