SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
43.4% ( 0.09) | 22.83% ( -0) | 33.77% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 65.21% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.3% ( -0.04) | 35.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.23% ( -0.04) | 57.76% ( 0.04) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( 0.02) | 17.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.84% ( 0.04) | 47.16% ( -0.04) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -0.07) | 21.41% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.59% ( -0.11) | 54.41% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 33.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
