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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
BM

Werder Bremen
2 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Woltemade (45', 65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hack (8'), Neuhaus (90+1' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 0-3 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Gladbach losing seven of their 15 away games this season means you want to back Bremen to record a third straight Bundesliga victory. However, the Foals have historically fared well against the hosts, losing just one of their last 14 top-flight meetings. While an away win might be a long shot, the spoils could be shared at Weserstadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.36%) and 1-0 (4.75%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
43.31% (6.431 6.43) 21.44% (-0.875 -0.88) 35.25% (-5.557 -5.56)
Both teams to score 71.14% (3.139 3.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.81% (4.182 4.18)28.18% (-4.181 -4.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.03% (5.019 5.02)48.97% (-5.018 -5.02)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (4.307 4.31)14.06% (-4.305 -4.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (7.847 7.85)41.64% (-7.847 -7.85)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (-0.521 -0.52)17.22% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (-0.924 -0.92)47.5% (0.925 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 43.31%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 35.25%
    Draw 21.44%
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.314 0.31)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.907 0.91)
1-0 @ 4.75% (-0.447 -0.45)
3-2 @ 4.72% (0.73 0.73)
2-0 @ 4.66% (0.255 0.26)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.559 0.56)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.743 0.74)
4-2 @ 2.31% (0.623 0.62)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.44 0.44)
4-3 @ 1.36% (0.348 0.35)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.392 0.39)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.335 0.34)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.947 -0.95)
2-2 @ 7.21% (0.155 0.15)
3-3 @ 2.77% (0.387 0.39)
0-0 @ 2.42% (-0.646 -0.65)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.976 -0.98)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.658 -0.66)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-1.23 -1.23)
2-3 @ 4.23% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-1.166 -1.17)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.734 -0.73)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.22% (0.152 0.15)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.346 -0.35)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Augsburg 0-3 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Stuttgart
Sunday, April 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Werder Bremen
Sunday, April 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Werder Bremen
Friday, April 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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