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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
29.83% ( -2.02) | 24.51% ( 0.27) | 45.66% ( 1.75) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( -2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( -2.15) | 45.4% ( 2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( -2.09) | 67.73% ( 2.1) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( -2.38) | 28.49% ( 2.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( -3.09) | 64.27% ( 3.1) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( -0.12) | 19.99% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.83% ( -0.2) | 52.17% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.83% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.29)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.79)0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.61)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.66% |
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