SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.25%) and 3-1 (6.22%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
50.87% ( 0.78) | 21.41% ( 0.1) | 27.72% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 66.87% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.96% ( -1.17) | 32.04% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.39% ( -1.38) | 53.61% ( 1.38) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( -0.17) | 13.05% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.38% ( -0.36) | 39.61% ( 0.36) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( -1.14) | 23.09% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( -1.7) | 56.94% ( 1.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.72% |
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