SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Roda JC win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Roda JC |
58.61% ( 0.45) | 21.23% ( -0.18) | 20.16% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( 0.45) | 39.67% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( 0.47) | 62.02% ( -0.46) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.73% ( 0.28) | 13.27% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.93% ( 0.56) | 40.07% ( -0.56) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( 0) | 33.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( 0) | 69.86% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.51% Total : 58.61% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 20.16% |
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