SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester United |
26.45% ( -0) | 23.07% ( 0.1) | 50.47% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.58% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% ( -0.46) | 41.12% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.48% ( -0.47) | 63.51% ( 0.47) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( -0.24) | 28.69% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( -0.3) | 64.52% ( 0.3) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( -0.21) | 16.44% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.88% ( -0.38) | 46.11% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.45% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.47% |
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