SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Yemen win it was 1-0 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yemen | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
12.67% ( -0.09) | 19.67% ( -0.05) | 67.66% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.24% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -0.01) | 46.68% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.01) | 68.94% ( 0) |
| Yemen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.03% ( -0.16) | 46.97% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.53% ( -0.12) | 82.46% ( 0.12) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( 0.04) | 12.8% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.88% ( 0.08) | 39.11% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yemen | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 1-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.67% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 19.67% | 0-2 @ 12.7% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.7% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.47% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.39% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 67.65% |
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