SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Yemen win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Yemen |
62.04% ( -0.02) | 22.07% ( 0.01) | 15.89% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% ( -0.03) | 50.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% ( -0.03) | 72.09% ( 0.03) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( -0.02) | 15.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( -0.03) | 44.65% ( 0.04) |
| Yemen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.66% ( -0.01) | 44.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.6% ( -0.01) | 80.4% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Yemen |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 62.03% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 15.89% |
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