SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
40.9% ( -0.24) | 23.52% ( 0.04) | 35.57% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 63.06% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.29% ( -0.17) | 38.71% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.98% ( -0.18) | 61.02% ( 0.18) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( -0.17) | 19.3% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.95% ( -0.29) | 51.05% ( 0.29) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( 0.03) | 21.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.9% ( 0.04) | 55.09% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 40.9% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.57% |
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