SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a CSKA Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
60.64% ( -0.08) | 21.67% ( 0.04) | 17.69% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( -0.09) | 45.45% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( -0.08) | 67.78% ( 0.08) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% ( -0.05) | 14.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.45% ( -0.1) | 42.55% ( 0.1) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.7% ( -0) | 39.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24% ( -0) | 75.99% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 60.64% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.69% |
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