Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
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