Chelsea have done an excellent job of ignoring the outside talk and circumstances surrounding the club's ownership while matches are there to be won, but they will face a hard time trying to break down Gourvennec's stubborn rearguard.
However, Lille have no other formula than all-out attack as they seek to pull off a remarkable comeback, but such an approach will leave them vulnerable to Tuchel's clinical crop as the Blues stroll into the last eight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Lille had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.93%), while for a Lille win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
