Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (10.1%).
-0.02) 
0.05) 
