Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Caen had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
-0.87) 
0.18) 
