Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Nancy win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
