Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niort win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niort win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 2-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
