SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.47%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.96% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Minnesota United |
58.47% ( -0.55) | 19.58% ( 0.19) | 21.96% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 67.07% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.96% ( -0.42) | 29.04% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.97% ( -0.52) | 50.03% ( 0.52) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.01% ( -0.26) | 9.99% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67% ( -0.6) | 32.99% ( 0.61) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.04) | 25.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( 0.06) | 60.33% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.8% Total : 58.47% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.58% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 21.96% |
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