SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.57%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Minnesota United |
58.57% ( -0.02) | 20.11% ( 0) | 21.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.96% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.39% ( 0.01) | 32.61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.73% ( 0.02) | 54.27% ( -0.02) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.95% ( -0) | 11.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.61% ( -0) | 35.39% ( -0) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( 0.02) | 28.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% ( 0.03) | 63.77% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.7% 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 21.31% |
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