SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
58.12% ( -0.01) | 22.02% | 19.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( 0.01) | 43.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( 0.01) | 66.09% ( -0.01) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.25% ( -0) | 14.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.02% ( -0) | 42.98% ( -0) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.11% ( 0.01) | 35.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% ( 0.02) | 72.66% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.34% 3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.03% 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.75% Total : 58.12% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.86% |
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