SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 2 | 42 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 1 | 39 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 3 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Toronto | 29 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | Atlanta United | 28 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 29 | -10 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Atlanta United |
49.35% ( -0.12) | 23.2% ( -0.02) | 27.45% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( 0.2) | 40.91% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( 0.2) | 63.3% ( -0.2) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( 0.03) | 16.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.29% ( 0.05) | 46.71% ( -0.05) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( 0.2) | 27.86% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( 0.26) | 63.47% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.35% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.45% |
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