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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 43
Oct 30, 2021 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
TF

Atlanta
1 - 1
Toronto

Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
66.14%20.23%13.63%
Both teams to score 47.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08%46.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83%69.16%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68%13.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83%40.16%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.39%45.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.59%81.41%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 66.13%
    Toronto 13.63%
    Draw 20.23%
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
2-0 @ 12.34%
1-0 @ 12.24%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 6.51%
4-0 @ 4.18%
4-1 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.56%
5-0 @ 1.69%
5-1 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 66.13%
1-1 @ 9.61%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.23%
0-1 @ 4.77%
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1%
1-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 13.63%

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