Major League Soccer

Sep 1, 2022 at 3.51am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
1 - 2
Portland

Driussi (79')
Urruti (30'), Pereira (45+5'), Ring (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tuiloma (16'), McGraw (73')
Zuparic (42'), Williamson (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Portland Timbers

Austin FC have been ruthless in front of goal all-season long and they will be looking to enjoy another field day here. We are tipping the home side to emerge victorious in what should be a truly exciting affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
57.5% ( 0.08)	21.42% ( -0)	21.08% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 58.73% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.75% (

-0.1)

39.25% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.42% (

-0.11)

61.58% (

0.11)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53% (

-0.01)

13.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.54% (

-0.02)

40.46% (

0.02)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

-0.13)

32.13% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

-0.15)

68.61% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 57.5%

Portland Timbers 21.08%

Draw 21.42%

Austin FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 57.5%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.42%	1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 21.08%