SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 65.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Toronto |
65.03% ( -0.55) | 19.08% ( 0.06) | 15.89% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% ( 0.79) | 36.89% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.93% ( 0.85) | 59.07% ( -0.84) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.34% ( 0.09) | 10.66% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.48% ( 0.19) | 34.52% ( -0.18) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% ( 1.13) | 36.26% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( 1.13) | 73.04% ( -1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.31)1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.78% Total : 65.03% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.08% | 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.89% |
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