SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Charlotte FC |
60.57% ( 0.13) | 21.59% ( -0.07) | 17.84% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.16% ( 0.2) | 44.84% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% ( 0.19) | 67.2% ( -0.19) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( 0.1) | 14.35% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.79% ( 0.2) | 42.21% ( -0.21) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.25% ( 0.05) | 38.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.52% ( 0.05) | 75.48% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 60.56% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.58% | 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 17.84% |
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