Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Charlotte FC |
60.35% ( 0.18) | 21.23% ( -0.08) | 18.42% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.77% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.68% ( 0.22) | 42.31% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.28% ( 0.22) | 64.72% ( -0.22) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% ( 0.12) | 13.6% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.27% ( 0.25) | 40.73% ( -0.25) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.39% ( 0.02) | 36.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.61% ( 0.02) | 73.39% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Charlotte FC |
2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 60.35% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 18.42% |
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