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OC
Major League Soccer
Sep 25, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
IM

Orlando City
1 - 1
Inter Miami

McGuire (66')
Schlegel (60'), Jansson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruiz (52')
Aviles (23'), Cremaschi (31'), Ruiz (54'), Yedlin (55'), Arroyo (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 Orlando City
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 4-0 Toronto
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 Inter Miami

The Herons have shown they can find ways to win even without Messi, but fatigue may be getting the better of this team in general, with fewer than a week to rest in between their matches since the Leagues Cup. Orlando are well-organised and compact defensively, and they have looked potent in the attacking third at home, so we expect them to find a way through what could be a defensive setup for the Herons on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawInter Miami
64.77% (0.19500000000001 0.2) 19.39% (-0.107 -0.11) 15.84% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.55% (0.328 0.33)38.45% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.26% (0.347 0.35)60.74% (-0.35 -0.35)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (0.145 0.14)11.17% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.33% (0.322 0.32)35.66% (-0.32400000000001 -0.32)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71% (0.093000000000004 0.09)37.28% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (0.09 0.09)74.07% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 64.76%
    Inter Miami 15.84%
    Draw 19.39%
Orlando CityDrawInter Miami
2-0 @ 10% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.21% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 4% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 64.76%
1-1 @ 9.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.39%
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 15.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: NY City 2-0 Orlando City
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Orlando City
Sunday, September 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 St Louis City
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-3 Orlando City
Monday, August 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 4-0 Toronto
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 5-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 16 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 Kansas
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-3 Inter Miami
Monday, September 4 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-0 Nashville
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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