Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 21 | 18 | 39 |
2 | New York City FC | 20 | 19 | 38 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 6 | 33 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | New England Revolution | 20 | -2 | 25 |
9 | Inter Miami | 20 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Atlanta United | 20 | 1 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 74.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 9.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 3-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
74.12% ( -0.01) | 16.53% ( 0.01) | 9.35% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 45.14% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( -0.04) | 41.8% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( -0.04) | 64.2% ( 0.04) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.27% ( -0.01) | 9.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.6% ( -0.03) | 32.4% ( 0.03) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.01% ( -0.02) | 49.99% ( 0.02) |