SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
43.98% ( -0.64) | 24.83% ( -0.45) | 31.19% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% ( 2.42) | 46.2% ( -2.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% ( 2.24) | 68.49% ( -2.24) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( 0.72) | 21.06% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% ( 1.12) | 53.87% ( -1.12) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( 1.94) | 27.98% ( -1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( 2.41) | 63.62% ( -2.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.63)2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
