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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
50.18% ( 0.08) | 22.68% ( 0.02) | 27.14% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.29% ( -0.16) | 38.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.98% ( -0.17) | 61.02% ( 0.17) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( -0.03) | 15.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.31% ( -0.05) | 44.69% ( 0.05) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( -0.15) | 26.94% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( -0.2) | 62.27% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 50.18% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.14% |
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