SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
57.6% ( 2.7) | 21.72% ( -0.57) | 20.68% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% ( -0.05) | 41.17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( -0.05) | 63.56% ( 0.05) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( 0.84) | 14.07% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.34% ( 1.63) | 41.66% ( -1.63) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( -1.98) | 33.6% ( 1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( -2.22) | 70.25% ( 2.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.55)3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.53)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.34)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.14% Total : 57.6% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.43) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.21% Total : 20.68% |
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