Major League Soccer

Aug 28, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Columbus Crew

Vazquez (36'), Miazga (77')
Moreno (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Etienne (74'), Moreira (90+6')
Degenek (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-2 Columbus Crew

Cincinnati and Columbus Crew head into the weekend separated by just one point in the conference table and we anticipate an end-to-end affair between both sides in a heated race for a playoffs spot. However, we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Columbus Crew
39.31% ( 0.02)	25.86% ( 0)	34.82% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.54% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.29% (

-0.02)

49.71% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.28% (

-0.02)

71.72% (

0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13% (

24.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.52% (

0.01)

59.48% (

-0.01)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.59% (

-0.02)

27.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.11% (

-0.03)

62.88% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 39.31%

Columbus Crew 34.83%

Draw 25.85%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.31%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.83%