SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
43.42% ( -0.21) | 24.58% ( 0.02) | 31.99% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( -0.04) | 44.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( -0.04) | 67.1% ( 0.04) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.11) | 20.7% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( -0.18) | 53.3% ( 0.18) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( 0.1) | 26.74% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.98% ( 0.13) | 62.02% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.99% |
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