SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 19 | 7 | 32 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 18 | 1 | 29 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 18 | 1 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 18 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | -15 | 17 |
| 10 | Sporting Kansas City | 19 | -13 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
61.35% ( -0.73) | 21.6% ( 0.23) | 17.04% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% ( -0.18) | 46.24% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( -0.17) | 68.53% ( 0.16) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( -0.29) | 14.56% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.37% ( -0.55) | 42.62% ( 0.55) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% ( 0.5) | 40.54% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.86% ( 0.45) | 77.14% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.34% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.6% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.04% |
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